A 90-10 bloc vote is 33% more powerful than an 80-20 bloc vote. That is because a 80-20 bloc vote yields a (80% - 20%) or 60% margin of victory to the endorsed candidate, but a 90-10 bloc vote yields a (90%-10%) or an 80% margin of victory. This is a 20% point increase over the 60 points. Hence, it is a 20/60 or 33% increase in power in helping the endorsed candidate win.
The following numerical examples illustrate the huge power of a 90-10 bloc vote.
Example 1: POWER of casting a 80-20 bloc vote
Two candidates run against each other in a political division, which for simplicity is assumed to have two constituent groups only. One group has 1 million votes (6.7%) and the other has 14 million votes (93.3%). Candidate A, a novice, courts the larger group. When the ballots are open, candidate A wins the larger community by the ratio of 52/48. The margin of difference is 4%. Since the larger group has 14 million votes, 4% of 14 million votes provides a winning margin of 560,000 votes to candidate A. His opponent, candidate B, is a seasoned politician. She courts the smaller group and wins that community by a ratio of 80 to 20. The difference between 80% and 20% is 60%. 60% of 1 million votes is 600,000 votes. As a result, candidate B wins the election by (600,000 – 560,000) or 40,000 votes. Astounding? Yes.
Example 2: THE INCREDIBLE POWER of a 90-10 bloc vote!
[Same basic story as above, except the smaller group now votes 90-10, and the size of the larger group is increased to 19 million votes.]
Two candidates run against each other in a political division, which for simplicity is assumed to have two constituent groups only. One group has 1 million votes (5% of total) and the other has 19 million votes (95%). Candidate A, a novice, courts the larger group. When the ballots are open, candidate A wins the larger community by the ratio of 52/48. The margin of difference is 4%. Since the larger group has 19 millions votes, 4% of 19 million votes provides a winning margin of 760,000 votes to candidate A. His opponent, candidate B, is a seasoned politician. She courts the smaller group and wins that community by a ratio of 90 to 10. The difference between 90% and 10% is 80%. 80% of 1 million votes is 800,000 votes. As a result, candidate B wins the election by (800,000 – 760,000) or 40,000 votes.
Incredible?! A small minority of 5%* can be the kingmaker by voting 90-10!! Leading you to the water is 80-20's job. :-) :-)
If you want both parties to COMPETE to share our rightful concerns, FOLLOW 80-20. Support us back.
Post your comments at: http://www.80-20educationalfoundation.org/politicaledu/posterboard.asp .
I thank Phil Choong of LA, a PAC Life Member, for suggesting the possibility of creating a 90-10 SWING bloc vote!
Sincerely,
S. B. Woo, a volunteer
President, 80-20 Nat'l Asian Am. Educational Foundation
http://www.80-20EducationalFoundation.org/
*5% is 1.7 % smaller than the 6.7% required by an 80-20 bloc vote, and is
0.33 of 5% or 33% more powerful!
