It's still a year away. However, if we are to seize the opportune moment, it is not too early to (1)know why that day is so important to ALL AsAms
desiring EQUAL opportunity (EO), and
(2) what we need to do to get ready & win EO.
Why is that day, 3/3/2020, so Important?
The greatest convergence of opportunity for AsAms will occur during that occasion. We shall use our political clout, created by that convergence, to induce ALL Democratic presidential candidates to help us achieve EO. [Note: we can't squeeze Trump yet, since he doesn't have a primary opponent. We'll squeeze him before the general election when he'll face the Democratic nominee.] The converging favorable elements are:
1) Winning the CA primary, with the largest number of Convention delegates, is always important. But having moved CA's primary date up by 3 months
has made winning CA super important. Remember history? Candidates reached agreement with 80-20 just before the date of the CA Dem. primary.
Examples are candidate Obama in 2008, and candidate H. Clinton in 2016.
2) Of the 10 states, CA, MA, and NC have adopted a "mixed" system for the Dem. primary. A "mixed" system gives AsAms an advantage in vote-share. Because (a) a "mixed" system allows "unaffiliated" to vote in a Dem. primary, and (b) AsAms have an unusually large % in the sum of "unaffiliated" and Dems! Take CA as an example, we used to have only an 8% vote-share in CA. However, a "mixed" system will give AsAms a 10% vote share.
3) Of the remaining 7 states, 6 actually adopted an "open" primary. They are AL, MN, TN, TX, VT and VA. "Open" primary means any registered voter can vote in a Dem. primary. That again gives 80-20 SuperPAC a huge advantage, if established. Click here to see the recent poll. Witness that almost half of the registered AsAms, be they R or D or Unaffiliated, will vote for whomsoever, recommended by Woo - an extremely rare political occurrence!
4) The3/3/20 Super Tuesday primary is estimated to have 5 to 9 Dem. candidates. Hence, votes could be scattered in many different directions, except for the AsAm bloc vote. A small plurality, say 35%, will likely be enough to win in any state. The smaller the needed plurality, the more important a bloc vote by a small minority like us will become. Moreover, 80-20 may be able to deliver half of the 35% in CA, where 21% of the total delegates are needed to be the Dem. nominee - that is political clout! 5) The total number of delegates up for grabs on that day is 63% of 1885 votes that are needed to secure the Dem. nomination. Any election strategist reading the list of favorable conditions possessed by AsAms on that day will agree that whoever is endorsed by Woo's SuperPAC will have an edge to win the Dem. nomination.
6) There are things that AsAms could do to double our vote-share in all 10
primaries, as is explained 2 paragraphs below, although admittedly it will be very difficult.
7) The above 6 favorable factors help the 80-20 SuperPAC, if formed,
to occupy a very strong bargaining position to win EO for the 16 million AsAms. Political know-how, dedication, will and ability can change the odds, and brighten our future.
What do we need to do to get ready? Vote on that day!
In 2016, 6.87 million Californians voted in the CA primaries (D & R) while 14.2 million voted in the general election. In other words, less than half of the eligible voters (6.87/14.2 = 0.48) will normally vote in a primary. The paucity of voters on primary day, applies not only to CA but to all states. Hence, if all eligible AsAms vote in the primary election, our regular x% vote-share will jump to a 2x% voter share. In CA, it will be a 20% vote share!
80-20 SuperPAC could become the KINGMAKER of the Democratic Convention on that day, provided that all AsAm Dems. and Unaffiliated vote that day.
Is driving all our votes out on a primary day easy? NO! But if you really
want equal opportunity for yourself and your children, YOUneed to start educating all AsAm voters about the importance of voting on that primary election day - a small sacrifice for one day to help yourself and your children win EO forever! Be sure to let AsAm mail ballot voters know that too.
If you are not willing to sacrifice that little, then you deserve to be a 2nd class citizen. We are leading you to the golden opportunity, will YOU
PS: Thanks to YOUR generosity, SELF has reached $3.4 million. However, tax-deductible donations can NOT be used for political campaigns to help elect a candidate. The SuperPAC, if formed, will have to raise money.
My apologies to all for sending you an e-newsletter yesterday that is hard to understand. Here is an easier version to understand. Increase your political sophistication today!
Great News! 80-20, under S. B. Woo, will possess great political clout.
Recall that 80-20 EF sent out a poll last Monday to have a peek at how AsAms will likely vote in 2020. Congratulations, AsAms! Our political maturity has improved by leaps & bounds over the 20 years of 80-20's existence. Here is the fantastic poll result.
The poll showed that we can, for the first time in history, deliver a SWING bloc vote. That reality, in the hands of skillful & dedicated AsAm political leaders, will enable winning EQUAL opportunity for AsAms. The following is the poll result and its accompanying analysis:
3/11-14/2019 E-Mail Poll
Q1: registered as
80-20 or S B Woo's Choice
Don't know yet
in S B Woo's
Note: Some poll takers didn't give 3 answers; *Others: other affiliations e.g. the Green Party
Helping you to understand the above table
The first 2 rows deal with Q1: how many of the poll participants are registered in each political affiliation. The next 6 rows deal with Q2. The last 6 rows deal with Q3.
The first column from the left tells you how the 64 Republican poll participants will vote and whether they have increasing or decreasing confidence in S.B. Woo. To illustrate, of the 64 Rep. poll participants, 25 will vote for Trump; 5 for any Democrat, and 22 will vote for whomsoever that S.B.'ll recommend. The remaining 12 are uncertain what they'll do today. Again, of the 64 persons, 34 strongly agree that Woo has earned their confidence , while 2 strongly disagree. The 3rd column deals with the 171 poll participants who are registered as Unaffiliated. .... The last column gives the sum of each row. Hopefully, you now understand the meaning of each number in the above table. It's not so hard. We can experience a leap in not only political maturity but also in political sophistication.
Checking the Accuracy of our Poll
First we need to check the apparent accuracy of our poll. Nationally, the breakdown in affiliations of Rep/ Unaff/ Dem/ (other aff.) is, according to Pew Research Center, 26%/33%/37%/4%. Our poll showed that for AsAms the distribution is 17%/45%/37%/1%. That is about right, since AsAms always
have a much higher % in Unaffiliated compared to the nat'l average. So the apparent accuracy checks out. [To see why the % of registered Republicans is 17%, follow this calculation: 64/(64+171+143+2) = 64/380 = 16.8%]
Understand your OWN Rippling Political Muscle
From the above table, you should note that
1) The % of AsAm voters who'll vote according to 80-20's recommendation,
led by S. B. Woo, is a huge 158/380 = 41.3%. This happens to be equal to the sum of voters making their own choices to vote D or R which is (45 +113)/380= 41.3%. Twenty yrs ago, can you imagine anyone saying I'll vote what 80-20 or S.B. Woo will recommend? Right now almost half the poll participants are saying that. AsAms are beginning to understand elections - politicians want our votes, we'll use our votes to trade for their support for our equal opportunity!
2) 16.6% (63/380 = 0.166) of AsAm voters have NOT made up their minds on whom to support. They could be persuaded to follow 80-20's recommendation.
Hence, the total % of AsAm voters who may following 80-20 superPAC is in the range of 41.8% to (41.3% + 16.6%) = 57.9%. Great.
3) If the election were today, any Democrat would win the AsAm vote by 113/45= 2.5 to 1 ratio. HOWEVER,
(a) If EF, led by S. B. Woo, forms a Super PAC and endorses that Dem, then that Dem will win by a (113 +158)/45 = 271/45 = 6.0i.e. a 6 to 1 ratio,
That'll be an huge bloc vote in the ratio of 86 to 14.
(b) If EF, led by S. B. Woo, forms a Super PAC and endorses Trump, then Trump will win by a (45+158)/113 = 203/113 = 1.8 i.e. a 1.8 to 1 ratio. Note
that our endorsement, so far as AsAm votes go, will change Trump from a 1 to 2.5 loser to a 1.8 to 1 winner. That is what politicians value.
4) If we aggressively assume that 57.9% will follow our recommendation, the
numbers in a) and b) above will be even stronger.
In other words, in the general election of 2020, whoever wins our
SuperPAC's endorsement will win the AsAm vote! In many battleground states e.g. MI, WI & PA, our endorsement could mean whether it'll be R or D that will win those electoral college votes. We'll use that strength to win EQUAL opportunity in workplaces and college admissions for you and your children.
5) Q3's polling result strongly indicates AsAms' confidence in EF & S. B. Woo. The (strong + somewhat agree) / (strongly + somewhat DISagree)= (230+80)/ (12+6) = 310/18 = 17.22. It gives an incredible 17 to 1 ratio. We humbly thank you for your confidence.
Warning: (1) If and when S. B. Woo forms an 80-20 SuperPAC, it'll be an independent org. from the existing 80-20 PAC, which is led by others. To know the performance of that PAC in the CA governor's race in 2006, click here and read the 5th paragraph.
(2) An even greater opportunity exists in the CA Democratic Primary than the
general election. Look for a subsequent e-newsletter.